Saturday, October 22, 2011

S&P Breakout?

Today the S&P 500 finally closed above 1230. Is this a convincing breakout?


I don't think so..
Why? Just take a look at the German DAX:
October 13th 2010: DAX broke out of its trading range; S&P did not but followed some days later.
August 1st 2011 DAX closed below 7000 for a while and S&P was still in its trading range but broke down on the next day.
And now this trading range:
October 4th 2011: S&P broke to new lows while the DAX was 120 points away from its recent lows.
October 21st 2011: S&P broke to new highs while the DAX is 130 points away from a breakout (future 120 points)


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